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Question 33-36 are based on the following passage.


    The Arctic Circle comprises approximately 6 percent of the Earth's surface. Of the 21 million square-kilometer Arctic region, only about 8 million square kilometers is onshore; the rest of the area is located on continental shelves, which are covered by no more than 500 meters of water Expeditions to the northern regions of Canada, Russia, and Alaska have discovered some 400 oil and gas fields within the Arctic Circle. These fields are capable of producing upwards of 200 billion barrels of oil and natural gas, a quantity representing about 10 percent of the world's known petroleum reserves. And yet, most of the Arctic Circle region remains unexplored. Some geologists believe that the expansive Arctic continental shelves may contain vast petroleum reserves. 

    Recently, a group of researchers from the United States Geological Survey completed an extensive survey of the Arctic region. The members of the Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal (CARA) team sought to discover the possible petroleum reserves in all areas north of 66.56 degrees north latitude. Due to the relative lack of information on the Arctic Circle region, the CARA team was unable to employ the standard geological techniques of resource assessment, including discovery prospect modeling and deposit simulation. Instead, the scentiels employed a probabilistic methodology to attempt to pinpoint areas of the Arctic Circle that had at least a 10 percent chance of harboring oil reserves excess of 10 billion barrels. The model used by the researchers determined the probability that a certain location possesses significant oil reserves by considering certain geologic factors typically associated with oil fields, including rock type and formation, and the relative age of the geologic structures. The results of the CARA team's study indicate that 17 of the 25 Arctic Circle regions have a greater than 10 percent chance of holding of reserves. Geologists on the team further conclude that over 70 percent of the estimated oil reserves in the Arctic Circle occur in just five of the regions, while over 70 percent of the probable natural gas reserves lay in just three of the regions. 

The result of the CARA team's survey have which of the following relations to the views of the geologists mentioned in the first paragraph?

The result of the CARA team's survey have which of the following relations to the views of the geologists mentioned in the first paragraph?

  1. The results of the survey conclusively prove that the beliefs of the geologists are true.

  2. The results of the survey corroborate the geologists' beliefs about petroleum reserves, but undermine their beliefs on natural gas reserves.

  3. The results of the survey indicate that the geologists' beliefs are likely to be true. although the survey indicates the oil is located in areas not predicted by the geologists.

  4. The results of the survey fail to confirm the beliefs of the geologists and indicate that the geologists are very likely mistaken about the quantity of oil reserves in the Arctic Circle.

  5. The results of the survey indicate that the suppositions of the geologists may be correct, although there is no definitive proof that the areas surveyed hold significant oil reserves.

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Jawaban terverifikasi

Jawaban

jawabanyang benar adalah E .

jawaban yang benar adalah E.

Pembahasan

Jawaban untuk soal iniadalah E. Soal menanyakan tentang opsi yang menunjukkan hasil survey tim CARA yang sejalan dengan pendapat / pandangan para ahli geologi. Pada paragraf pertama para ahli geologi mengemukakan pendapatnya akan kemungkinan keberadaan cadangan minyak di wilayah Lingkar Arktik. Kemudian pada paragraf kedua disebutkan hasil survey yang menunjukkan bahwa17 dari 25 daerah Lingkar Arktik berpeluang lebih dari 10 persen memiliki cadangan minyak. Dengan demikian, pernyataan para pakar geologi memiliki kesamaan dengan hasil survey yaitu sama - sama menyatakan probabilitas atau kemungkinan. Di antara opsi yang ada, yang sesuai dengan pernyataan di atas adalah opsi yang berbunyi, "The results of the survey indicate that the suppositions of the geologists may be correct, although there is no definitive proof that the areas surveyed hold significant oil reserves" yang bermakna "Hasil survei menunjukkan bahwa anggapan ahli geologi mungkin benar, meskipun tidak ada bukti pasti bahwa daerah yang disurvei memiliki cadangan minyak yang signifikan". Jadi, jawabanyang benar adalah E .

Jawaban untuk soal ini adalah E.

Soal menanyakan tentang opsi yang menunjukkan hasil survey tim CARA yang sejalan dengan pendapat / pandangan para ahli geologi.

Pada paragraf pertama para ahli geologi mengemukakan pendapatnya akan kemungkinan keberadaan cadangan minyak di wilayah Lingkar Arktik. Kemudian pada paragraf kedua disebutkan hasil survey yang menunjukkan bahwa 17 dari 25 daerah Lingkar Arktik berpeluang lebih dari 10 persen memiliki cadangan minyak.

Dengan demikian, pernyataan para pakar geologi memiliki kesamaan dengan hasil survey yaitu sama - sama menyatakan probabilitas atau kemungkinan.

Di antara opsi yang ada, yang sesuai dengan pernyataan di atas adalah opsi yang berbunyi,"The results of the survey indicate that the suppositions of the geologists may be correct, although there is no definitive proof that the areas surveyed hold significant oil reserves" yang bermakna "Hasil survei menunjukkan bahwa anggapan ahli geologi mungkin benar, meskipun tidak ada bukti pasti bahwa daerah yang disurvei memiliki cadangan minyak yang signifikan".

Jadi, jawaban yang benar adalah E.

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